Wednesday 26 September 2018

Labour rallies on snap election push and referendum. Hard Brexit more likely. Trump promotes isolationism.

The red rose of Labour was ascendant in the Arena in Liverpool (yes I know the picture is not of a rose), finishing with a rousing speech by his godliness Jeremy Corbyn. The key elements re Brexit from the Conference are that  a)  Labour will magnanimously support the government brexit plan if it meets the six Labour requirements. Otherwise b) it will be pushing for a snap election. And c) The party voted overwhelmingly to support a second referendum on any decision on Brexit, including the option of remaining in the EU.

Labours six tests are:

1. Fair migration system for UK business and communities
2. Retaining strong, collaborative relationship with EU
3. Protecting national security and tackling cross-border crime
4. Delivering for all nations and regions of the UK
5. Protecting workers' rights and employment protections
6. Ensuring same benefits currently enjoyed within single market

These are unlikley to all be met by a conservative Brexit at present as they can only seriously be met by staying within the EU. Even the promise of a customs union would still result in a border between the EU and the UK in Ireland as border checks would still have to be made.

A snap election would require around 6 weeks from announcement to voting, judging by the last one. Vince Cable had suggested a 12 week plan for a December 2018 Referendum when proposing it last year. Presumably this would put all negotiations with the EU on hold.

Meanwhile, the EU is looking for a final decision on the present negotiations by mid October, or November at the latest.

Since elections and/or referendum would delay negotiations, all this would suggest that the chances of a hard Brexit are dramatically increased unless the Brexit decisions can be pushed down the line.

How is it that rather than uniting to find a common solution to Brexit negotiations, the main UK political parties are more interested in their infighting and political power battles?!?

President Trump visited the UN today to chair a session. He raised an audible giggle from the audience when he repeated his mantra that he has achieved more to date than nearly any other President. He announced his opposition to globalism, a fundamental element of the UN, in favour of 'patriotism'. POTUS attacked China during a debate on Iran, accusing China of attempting to interfere with the 2018 US elections. Yet nowhere did he criticise Russia, despite that country's past record.

I only took all this in through a nebulous haze of a cold that is now receding. I look forward to a day where I don't spend most of my time in bed.

Thursday 20 September 2018

Rot sets in on Theresa's Chequers proposal at EU meeting.

Rot sets in on Chequers proposal
Prime Minister Theresa May's hopes were dashed today on the second day of the Salzburg EU conference. Her Chequers proposal was branded as unacceptable by the EU 27, despite warm noises made prior to the conference. She calls for the EU to compromise, the EU looks to her to provide a compromise. The Irish border is still the sticking issue, though on the bright side, both sides seem to think that 90% of all other points have been agreed.

Rejected by the EU and rejected by many in the Conservative party, the unrealistic Chequers proposal looks dead in the water. And with it, the Prime Minister is again in the crosshairs of those who seek to topple her.

With a positive agreement on the outlines of the UKs future relationship with the EU post Brexit  needed by mid October, or the very latest November, time is short, very short. The likelihood of a hard brexit has been raised again.

In-between work, I washed and sliced the tart President plums bought yesterday at Ely. They baked nicely on a yeast dough base and provided a tasty afternoon tea.

Monday 17 September 2018

Six months to brexit without consensus. A sweet homemade distraction

St Apollonia
Six months to go to Brexit this week and Britain continues to subject itself to the indignities of the Conservative and Labour in-fighting. The Prime Minister Theresa May continues her attempt to persuade both the EU, her own party and the general public of the one true path - her Chequers proposal. The EU has already politely pointed out difficulties with it and the hard Brexiteers shout betrayal of the one true brexit.

Helpfully, the government has issued further publications on preparing for Brexit and the dangers of a hard brexit, bringing the total number up to 133. They are listed under the following headings:

  • 30 are EU exit regulations
  • 103 are Guidance
  • 0 are Business advice
Thus clearly emphasizing that whilst we are all ultimately dependent on the UK economy and businesses are crying out for advice re Brexit, their concerns are at the bottom of the list. 

Quite frankly, despite the boyish enthusiasm of our new Brexit Minister and chief negotiator Dominic Raab, we seem to be heading inexorably towards a hard brexit and the application of WTO rules. A painful process to watch, looming ever closer like a dentists appointment for a root canal drilling.

The President across the Pond has shown himself to be a solemn representative of the people when commemorating the anniversary of 9/11, and then deluded when arguing that the release of the final death toll of the Puerto Rican hurricane disaster (3000+) was fake news. The US economy continues to grow despite the heightened trade sanctions of ever more goods from China.

We spent the last weekend first on a trip to London, visiting the Welcome collection and then the British Museum  before celebrating a family birthday. Then on Sunday, we took a walk along the guided busway between Oakington and Longstanton. I'd remembered good blackberrying along part of the route when cycling past on Friday. We picked blackberries and rose-hips and a few crab-apples on the way home, and I prepared crab-apple and bramble jam/cheese and rose-hip jelly.